Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

20 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.1 pp

Dinamo Zagreb

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 84.6% DRAW 10.0% AWAY 5.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 81.5% 1.18 DRAW 11.9% 8.05 AWAY 6.6% 14.66

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Dinamo Zagreb relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 84.6% win probability, compared with 81.5% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Dinamo Zagreb has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Dinamo Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

Shots 13.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 7.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Dinamo Zagreb, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Dinamo Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 17.0 · On target allowed 6.3

Dinamo Zagreb has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Dinamo Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

The combined recent performance profile favours Dinamo Zagreb.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Dinamo Zagreb ↓ -0.04 (-3.3%)

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb ↑ +1.66 (+12.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.