Sport Huancayo vs UTC Cajamarca

20 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.4 pp

Sport Huancayo

UTC Cajamarca

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 75.4% DRAW 16.9% AWAY 7.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 71.9% 1.38 DRAW 18.7% 5.30 AWAY 9.4% 10.61

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Sport Huancayo relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 75.4% win probability, compared with 71.9% implied by the market. The 3.4 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Sport Huancayo has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sport Huancayo UTC Cajamarca

Shots 16.0 · On target 5.5 Shots 10.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sport Huancayo UTC Cajamarca

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 22.0 · On target allowed 7.5

Sport Huancayo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sport Huancayo UTC Cajamarca

The combined recent performance profile favours Sport Huancayo.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Sport Huancayo ↑ +0.02 (+1.2%)

UTC Cajamarca ↑ +1.77 (+20.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.