Lech Poznan vs Radomiak Radom

20 Sep 2026 · 20:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Lech Poznan

Radomiak Radom

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 70.4% DRAW 16.3% AWAY 13.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 70.4% 1.38 DRAW 17.0% 5.72 AWAY 12.6% 7.72

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Radomiak Radom

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Lech Poznan Radomiak Radom

Shots 15.8 · On target 5.3 Shots 17.5 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Lech Poznan Radomiak Radom

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Lech Poznan Radomiak Radom

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Lech Poznan ↑ +0.07 (+5.3%)

Radomiak Radom ↓ -1.22 (-13.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.