Chivas Guadalajara vs Queretaro

27 Sep 2026 · 01:07

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Chivas Guadalajara

Queretaro

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 60.6% DRAW 21.3% AWAY 18.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.8% 1.60 DRAW 21.8% 4.46 AWAY 17.4% 5.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

The overall recent shot balance favours the away side, although neither attack nor defence dominates every measure.

Attack Recent attacking output

Chivas Guadalajara Queretaro

Shots 8.8 · On target 4.5 Shots 13.5 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Chivas Guadalajara Queretaro

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 17.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Chivas Guadalajara Queretaro

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Chivas Guadalajara ↑ +0.06 (+4.3%)

Queretaro ↓ -0.16 (-2.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.