Pachuca vs Tijuana

21 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Pachuca

Tijuana

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.1% DRAW 24.1% AWAY 19.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 56.1% 1.74 DRAW 24.4% 3.99 AWAY 19.5% 5.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Pachuca

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Pachuca Tijuana

Shots 15.0 · On target 5.5 Shots 14.0 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Pachuca, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Pachuca Tijuana

Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Pachuca Tijuana

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Pachuca ↓ -0.03 (-1.7%)

Tijuana ↑ +0.79 (+17.7%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.