Alajuelense vs Inter San Carlos

21 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Alajuelense

Inter San Carlos

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 54.6% DRAW 27.9% AWAY 17.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 56.3% 1.66 DRAW 27.3% 3.42 AWAY 16.5% 5.65

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

The overall recent shot balance favours the away side, although neither attack nor defence dominates every measure.

Attack Recent attacking output

Alajuelense Inter San Carlos

Shots 12.3 · On target 5.5 Shots 16.3 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Alajuelense Inter San Carlos

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Alajuelense Inter San Carlos

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Alajuelense = (0.0%)

Inter San Carlos = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.