Roda JC vs RKC

26 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Roda JC

RKC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.5% DRAW 26.5% AWAY 33.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.7% 2.32 DRAW 26.9% 3.60 AWAY 31.5% 3.07

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: RKC

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Roda JC RKC

Shots 12.0 · On target 5.0 Shots 17.3 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output favours RKC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Roda JC RKC

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Roda JC RKC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Roda JC ↓ -0.27 (-10.4%)

RKC ↑ +0.52 (+20.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.