Loznica vs Spartak Subotica

28 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.8 pp

Loznica

Spartak Subotica

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.1% DRAW 28.3% AWAY 38.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.8% 2.55 DRAW 28.5% 3.20 AWAY 35.8% 2.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Spartak Subotica relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 38.6% win probability, compared with 35.8% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Spartak Subotica has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Loznica Spartak Subotica

Shots 11.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 13.3 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Loznica Spartak Subotica

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.8

Spartak Subotica has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Loznica Spartak Subotica

The combined recent performance profile favours Spartak Subotica.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Loznica = (0.0%)

Spartak Subotica = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.