FK Graficar Beograd vs Teleoptik

28 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.2 pp

FK Graficar Beograd

Teleoptik

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 53.6% DRAW 24.2% AWAY 22.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.4% 1.90 DRAW 25.5% 3.60 AWAY 26.1% 3.53

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates FK Graficar Beograd clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 53.6% win probability, compared with 48.4% implied by the market. The 5.2 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FK Graficar Beograd has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Graficar Beograd Teleoptik

Shots 11.5 · On target 4.8 Shots 8.8 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours FK Graficar Beograd, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Graficar Beograd Teleoptik

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 5.3

FK Graficar Beograd has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Graficar Beograd Teleoptik

The combined recent performance profile favours FK Graficar Beograd.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FK Graficar Beograd ↑ +0.05 (+2.7%)

Teleoptik ↑ +0.13 (+3.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.