Bor 1919 vs Metalac Gornji

28 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +5.9 pp

Bor 1919

Metalac Gornji

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.0% DRAW 28.9% AWAY 37.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.9% 2.39 DRAW 28.9% 3.30 AWAY 31.2% 3.05

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Metalac Gornji clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 37.1% win probability, compared with 31.2% implied by the market. The 5.9 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Metalac Gornji has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bor 1919 Metalac Gornji

Shots 6.0 · On target 2.0 Shots 6.8 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Metalac Gornji, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bor 1919 Metalac Gornji

Shots allowed 20.0 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.3

Metalac Gornji has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bor 1919 Metalac Gornji

The combined recent performance profile favours Metalac Gornji.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Bor 1919 ↑ +0.02 (+0.8%)

Metalac Gornji ↑ +0.15 (+5.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.