Minnesota United FC II vs Los Angeles FC II

20 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.0 pp

Minnesota United FC II

Los Angeles FC II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.2% DRAW 21.7% AWAY 26.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.2% 1.93 DRAW 23.0% 4.03 AWAY 28.7% 3.23

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Minnesota United FC II clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 52.2% win probability, compared with 48.2% implied by the market. The 4.0 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Minnesota United FC II has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Minnesota United FC II Los Angeles FC II

Shots 11.8 · On target 6.0 Shots 10.3 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Minnesota United FC II, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Minnesota United FC II Los Angeles FC II

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.3

Minnesota United FC II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Minnesota United FC II Los Angeles FC II

The combined recent performance profile favours Minnesota United FC II.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Minnesota United FC II ↑ +0.02 (+0.8%)

Los Angeles FC II ↓ -0.07 (-2.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.