Ventforet Kofu vs Kataller Toyama

03 Oct 2026 · 09:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.5 pp

Ventforet Kofu

Kataller Toyama

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 21.0% DRAW 22.6% AWAY 56.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 22.5% 4.33 DRAW 23.6% 4.13 AWAY 53.9% 1.81

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Kataller Toyama has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ventforet Kofu Kataller Toyama

Shots 10.5 · On target 4.0 Shots 14.8 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours Kataller Toyama, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ventforet Kofu Kataller Toyama

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 3.5

Kataller Toyama has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ventforet Kofu Kataller Toyama

The combined recent performance profile favours Kataller Toyama.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Ventforet Kofu ↓ -0.06 (-1.3%)

Kataller Toyama ↑ +0.08 (+4.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.