Ehime FC vs Thespa Gunma

03 Oct 2026 · 08:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Ehime FC

Thespa Gunma

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 60.0% DRAW 20.7% AWAY 19.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 58.2% 1.66 DRAW 21.8% 4.42 AWAY 20.1% 4.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Ehime FC

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ehime FC Thespa Gunma

Shots 8.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 5.8 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ehime FC Thespa Gunma

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 5.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ehime FC Thespa Gunma

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Ehime FC ↑ +0.16 (+10.4%)

Thespa Gunma ↓ -0.20 (-4.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.