FC Gifu vs Renofa Yamaguchi

03 Oct 2026 · 07:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.9 pp

FC Gifu

Renofa Yamaguchi

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.0% DRAW 25.2% AWAY 38.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.4% 2.42 DRAW 25.7% 3.80 AWAY 33.9% 2.88

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Renofa Yamaguchi clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 38.8% win probability, compared with 33.9% implied by the market. The 4.9 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Renofa Yamaguchi has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Gifu Renofa Yamaguchi

Shots 9.3 · On target 4.3 Shots 15.5 · On target 7.8

Recent attacking output favours Renofa Yamaguchi, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Gifu Renofa Yamaguchi

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Renofa Yamaguchi has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Gifu Renofa Yamaguchi

The combined recent performance profile favours Renofa Yamaguchi.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

FC Gifu ↑ +0.22 (+10.0%)

Renofa Yamaguchi ↑ +0.08 (+2.9%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.