Sagamihara vs FC Osaka

03 Oct 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Sagamihara

FC Osaka

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.7% DRAW 25.5% AWAY 35.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.2% 2.53 DRAW 26.0% 3.71 AWAY 35.8% 2.69

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Osaka

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sagamihara FC Osaka

Shots 10.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 10.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sagamihara FC Osaka

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sagamihara FC Osaka

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Sagamihara ↓ -0.02 (-0.9%)

FC Osaka ↑ +0.32 (+13.3%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.