EIF Academy vs MPS

03 Oct 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.1 pp

EIF Academy

MPS

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 80.0% DRAW 11.1% AWAY 9.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 76.9% 1.27 DRAW 12.9% 7.55 AWAY 10.2% 9.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for EIF Academy relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 80.0% win probability, compared with 76.9% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: EIF Academy

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

EIF Academy MPS

Shots 12.8 · On target 8.0 Shots 5.0 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours EIF Academy, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

EIF Academy MPS

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

EIF Academy MPS

The combined recent performance profile favours EIF Academy.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

EIF Academy = (0.0%)

MPS ↑ +2.85 (+42.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.