Trindade vs Gremio Anapolis

27 Sep 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Trindade

Gremio Anapolis

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.1% DRAW 28.5% AWAY 26.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.6% 1.97 DRAW 28.3% 3.25 AWAY 25.1% 3.67

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Gremio Anapolis

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Trindade Gremio Anapolis

Shots 13.3 · On target 2.5 Shots 13.0 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Gremio Anapolis, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Trindade Gremio Anapolis

Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Trindade Gremio Anapolis

The combined recent performance profile favours Gremio Anapolis.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Trindade ↑ +0.12 (+6.5%)

Gremio Anapolis ↑ +0.07 (+1.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.