Morrinhos vs Sao Luis GO

27 Sep 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Morrinhos

Sao Luis GO

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.3% DRAW 29.1% AWAY 28.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.2% 2.05 DRAW 28.8% 3.14 AWAY 27.0% 3.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Sao Luis GO has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Morrinhos Sao Luis GO

Shots 10.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 13.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Sao Luis GO, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Morrinhos Sao Luis GO

Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Morrinhos Sao Luis GO

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Morrinhos = (0.0%)

Sao Luis GO ↑ +0.05 (+1.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.