Goianesia vs Rio Verde GO

24 Sep 2026 · 02:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Goianesia

Rio Verde GO

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.8% DRAW 30.2% AWAY 35.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.3% 2.55 DRAW 30.0% 3.00 AWAY 34.6% 2.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Rio Verde GO

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Goianesia Rio Verde GO

Shots 15.3 · On target 4.5 Shots 17.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Goianesia Rio Verde GO

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 2.8

Rio Verde GO has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Goianesia Rio Verde GO

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Goianesia ↑ +0.05 (+2.0%)

Rio Verde GO = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.