Goianesia vs Mineiros

27 Sep 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Goianesia

Mineiros

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 53.6% DRAW 26.5% AWAY 20.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.8% 1.77 DRAW 27.0% 3.40 AWAY 21.2% 4.32

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Goianesia

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Goianesia Mineiros

Shots 14.0 · On target 4.0 Shots 8.3 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Goianesia, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Goianesia Mineiros

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Goianesia Mineiros

The combined recent performance profile favours Goianesia.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Goianesia ↑ +0.02 (+1.1%)

Mineiros ↑ +0.32 (+8.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.