Goiania vs Morrinhos

24 Sep 2026 · 00:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Goiania

Morrinhos

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.0% DRAW 31.0% AWAY 24.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.2% 2.15 DRAW 30.9% 3.00 AWAY 25.9% 3.59

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Morrinhos

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Goiania Morrinhos

Shots 8.5 · On target 3.0 Shots 9.3 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Goiania Morrinhos

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 19.3 · On target allowed 4.5

Goiania has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Goiania Morrinhos

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Goiania ↑ +0.11 (+5.4%)

Morrinhos = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.