Goiania vs Tupy de Jussara

26 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.1 pp

Goiania

Tupy de Jussara

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.0% DRAW 30.0% AWAY 27.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.8% 1.94 DRAW 29.3% 3.10 AWAY 23.9% 3.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Tupy de Jussara relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 27.0% win probability, compared with 23.9% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Tupy de Jussara has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Goiania Tupy de Jussara

Shots 9.5 · On target 3.0 Shots 12.3 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Goiania Tupy de Jussara

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 1.5

Tupy de Jussara has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Goiania Tupy de Jussara

The combined recent performance profile favours Tupy de Jussara.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Goiania ↑ +0.04 (+2.1%)

Tupy de Jussara = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.