Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petah Tikva

18 Sep 2026 · 14:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Hapoel Petah Tikva

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 72.2% DRAW 17.6% AWAY 10.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 70.6% 1.38 DRAW 18.7% 5.22 AWAY 10.7% 9.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Hapoel Tel Aviv

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Petah Tikva

Shots 13.3 · On target 6.5 Shots 7.3 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Hapoel Tel Aviv, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Petah Tikva

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.0

Hapoel Petah Tikva has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Petah Tikva

The combined recent performance profile favours Hapoel Tel Aviv.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Hapoel Tel Aviv ↑ +0.03 (+2.2%)

Hapoel Petah Tikva ↑ +1.04 (+12.9%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.