Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem

01 Oct 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.1 pp

Maccabi Bnei Raina

Hapoel Kfar Shalem

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.9% DRAW 21.5% AWAY 26.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.8% 2.04 DRAW 23.0% 4.16 AWAY 30.3% 3.15

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Maccabi Bnei Raina clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 51.9% win probability, compared with 46.8% implied by the market. The 5.1 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Maccabi Bnei Raina has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Maccabi Bnei Raina Hapoel Kfar Shalem

Shots 15.3 · On target 5.8 Shots 11.5 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Maccabi Bnei Raina Hapoel Kfar Shalem

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 7.8

Maccabi Bnei Raina has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Maccabi Bnei Raina Hapoel Kfar Shalem

The combined recent performance profile favours Maccabi Bnei Raina.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Maccabi Bnei Raina ↑ +0.27 (+15.3%)

Hapoel Kfar Shalem ↓ -0.25 (-7.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.