Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa vs Hapoel Akko

01 Oct 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.4 pp

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa

Hapoel Akko

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.2% DRAW 21.8% AWAY 22.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.8% 1.82 DRAW 23.2% 4.15 AWAY 24.1% 3.99

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 56.2% win probability, compared with 52.8% implied by the market. The 3.4 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Hapoel Akko

Shots 9.3 · On target 4.0 Shots 7.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Hapoel Akko

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 8.5

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Hapoel Akko

The combined recent performance profile favours Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa ↑ +0.14 (+8.3%)

Hapoel Akko ↑ +0.09 (+2.2%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.