SC Kiryat Yam vs Hapoel Kfar Saba

01 Oct 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.9 pp

SC Kiryat Yam

Hapoel Kfar Saba

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.3% DRAW 19.1% AWAY 22.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.4% 1.73 DRAW 20.6% 4.65 AWAY 24.0% 3.99

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for SC Kiryat Yam relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 58.3% win probability, compared with 55.4% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: SC Kiryat Yam

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

SC Kiryat Yam Hapoel Kfar Saba

Shots 14.5 · On target 8.0 Shots 17.5 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SC Kiryat Yam Hapoel Kfar Saba

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 16.5 · On target allowed 7.8

SC Kiryat Yam has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SC Kiryat Yam Hapoel Kfar Saba

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

SC Kiryat Yam ↑ +0.13 (+7.9%)

Hapoel Kfar Saba ↓ -0.12 (-2.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.