Hapoel Akko vs Hapoel Afula

24 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.9 pp

Hapoel Akko

Hapoel Afula

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 22.9% DRAW 25.3% AWAY 51.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.0% 3.78 DRAW 26.0% 3.62 AWAY 49.0% 1.93

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Hapoel Afula relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 51.9% win probability, compared with 49.0% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Hapoel Afula has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hapoel Akko Hapoel Afula

Shots 7.5 · On target 2.5 Shots 12.8 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours Hapoel Afula, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hapoel Akko Hapoel Afula

Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 8.5 Shots allowed 15.8 · On target allowed 6.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hapoel Akko Hapoel Afula

The combined recent performance profile favours Hapoel Afula.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Hapoel Akko ↓ -1.23 (-24.5%)

Hapoel Afula ↑ +0.47 (+31.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.