Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Rishon Lezion

01 Oct 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Hapoel Afula

Hapoel Rishon Lezion

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.4% DRAW 23.2% AWAY 45.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.2% 3.06 DRAW 24.0% 3.99 AWAY 44.8% 2.14

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Hapoel Afula

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hapoel Afula Hapoel Rishon Lezion

Shots 13.0 · On target 6.0 Shots 9.8 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Hapoel Afula, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hapoel Afula Hapoel Rishon Lezion

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 2.3

Hapoel Rishon Lezion has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hapoel Afula Hapoel Rishon Lezion

The combined recent performance profile favours Hapoel Rishon Lezion.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Hapoel Afula ↑ +0.36 (+13.3%)

Hapoel Rishon Lezion ↑ +0.04 (+1.7%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.