Maccabi Achi Nazareth vs Ironi Modiin

01 Oct 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Maccabi Achi Nazareth

Ironi Modiin

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.6% DRAW 24.2% AWAY 33.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.9% 2.29 DRAW 25.0% 3.85 AWAY 33.1% 2.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

The overall recent shot balance favours the away side, although neither attack nor defence dominates every measure.

Attack Recent attacking output

Maccabi Achi Nazareth Ironi Modiin

Shots 11.0 · On target 5.0 Shots 10.3 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Maccabi Achi Nazareth Ironi Modiin

Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 7.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Maccabi Achi Nazareth Ironi Modiin

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Maccabi Achi Nazareth ↑ +0.31 (+15.7%)

Ironi Modiin ↓ -0.20 (-6.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.