NK Brinje Grosuplje vs NK Radomlje

20 Sep 2026 · 20:15

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.7 pp

NK Brinje Grosuplje

NK Radomlje

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.8% DRAW 26.5% AWAY 26.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.2% 2.17 DRAW 27.1% 3.54 AWAY 28.8% 3.33

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for NK Brinje Grosuplje relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 46.8% win probability, compared with 44.2% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

NK Brinje Grosuplje has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

NK Brinje Grosuplje NK Radomlje

Shots 11.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 10.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

NK Brinje Grosuplje NK Radomlje

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.0

NK Brinje Grosuplje has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

NK Brinje Grosuplje NK Radomlje

The combined recent performance profile favours NK Brinje Grosuplje.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

NK Brinje Grosuplje ↑ +0.07 (+3.3%)

NK Radomlje ↓ -0.03 (-0.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.