Jadran Dekani vs ND Ilirija Ljubljana

25 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Jadran Dekani

ND Ilirija Ljubljana

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.8% DRAW 28.5% AWAY 31.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.0% 2.35 DRAW 28.6% 3.20 AWAY 32.4% 2.83

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Jadran Dekani

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Jadran Dekani ND Ilirija Ljubljana

Shots 10.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 3.8 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Jadran Dekani, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Jadran Dekani ND Ilirija Ljubljana

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 2.3

ND Ilirija Ljubljana has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Jadran Dekani ND Ilirija Ljubljana

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Jadran Dekani ↓ -0.01 (-0.4%)

ND Ilirija Ljubljana ↑ +0.08 (+3.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.