NK Triglav Kranj vs NK Primorje Ajdovscina

26 Sep 2026 · 18:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

NK Triglav Kranj

NK Primorje Ajdovscina

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 68.4% DRAW 18.9% AWAY 12.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 67.5% 1.40 DRAW 19.7% 4.80 AWAY 12.8% 7.38

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: NK Triglav Kranj

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

NK Triglav Kranj NK Primorje Ajdovscina

Shots 13.8 · On target 8.0 Shots 12.0 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours NK Triglav Kranj, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

NK Triglav Kranj NK Primorje Ajdovscina

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

NK Triglav Kranj NK Primorje Ajdovscina

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

NK Triglav Kranj ↑ +0.18 (+13.8%)

NK Primorje Ajdovscina ↓ -0.12 (-1.6%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.