Nojima (W) vs Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)

23 Sep 2026 · 07:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Nojima (W)

Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.1% DRAW 25.8% AWAY 27.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.0% 1.85 DRAW 25.9% 3.50 AWAY 25.1% 3.61

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Nojima (W) Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)

Shots 8.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 12.8 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Nojima (W) Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 6.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Nojima (W) Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Nojima (W) ↓ -0.15 (-7.5%)

Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) ↑ +0.43 (+13.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.