Omiya Ardija (W) vs Mynavi Sendai (W)

23 Sep 2026 · 09:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Omiya Ardija (W)

Mynavi Sendai (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.5% DRAW 26.7% AWAY 27.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.7% 1.95 DRAW 26.8% 3.40 AWAY 26.5% 3.44

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Omiya Ardija (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Omiya Ardija (W) Mynavi Sendai (W)

Shots 8.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Omiya Ardija (W) Mynavi Sendai (W)

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.3

Mynavi Sendai (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Omiya Ardija (W) Mynavi Sendai (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Omiya Ardija (W) ↓ -0.35 (-15.2%)

Mynavi Sendai (W) ↑ +0.81 (+30.9%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.