Deportivo Cali vs Alianza

03 Oct 2026 · 02:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Deportivo Cali

Alianza

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 64.8% DRAW 22.2% AWAY 13.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 64.3% 1.53 DRAW 22.6% 4.35 AWAY 13.1% 7.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Deportivo Cali

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Cali Alianza

Shots 12.3 · On target 6.8 Shots 11.0 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Deportivo Cali, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Cali Alianza

Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Cali Alianza

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Deportivo Cali ↓ 0.00 (-0.3%)

Alianza ↓ -0.38 (-5.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.