Jaguares de Cordoba vs Alianza

27 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Jaguares de Cordoba

Alianza

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.4% DRAW 31.8% AWAY 29.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.2% 2.48 DRAW 31.4% 3.10 AWAY 29.5% 3.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Jaguares de Cordoba

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Jaguares de Cordoba Alianza

Shots 9.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 8.8 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Jaguares de Cordoba Alianza

Shots allowed 18.0 · On target allowed 7.3 Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 5.8

Alianza has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Jaguares de Cordoba Alianza

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Jaguares de Cordoba ↑ +0.19 (+8.3%)

Alianza = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.