Deportivo Pereira vs Internacional de Bogota

26 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.0 pp

Deportivo Pereira

Internacional de Bogota

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 25.6% DRAW 28.1% AWAY 46.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.2% 3.40 DRAW 28.5% 3.36 AWAY 43.3% 2.21

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Internacional de Bogota relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 46.3% win probability, compared with 43.3% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Internacional de Bogota has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Pereira Internacional de Bogota

Shots 9.0 · On target 3.5 Shots 13.8 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Internacional de Bogota, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Pereira Internacional de Bogota

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 7.8 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.5

Internacional de Bogota has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Pereira Internacional de Bogota

The combined recent performance profile favours Internacional de Bogota.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Deportivo Pereira ↑ +0.15 (+4.6%)

Internacional de Bogota ↑ +0.01 (+0.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.