Atletico Bucaramanga vs Internacional de Bogota

20 Sep 2026 · 23:05

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Atletico Bucaramanga

Internacional de Bogota

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.1% DRAW 27.1% AWAY 20.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.2% 1.76 DRAW 26.6% 3.59 AWAY 19.1% 5.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Internacional de Bogota has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Atletico Bucaramanga Internacional de Bogota

Shots 9.5 · On target 3.5 Shots 13.0 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Internacional de Bogota, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Atletico Bucaramanga Internacional de Bogota

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Atletico Bucaramanga Internacional de Bogota

The combined recent performance profile favours Internacional de Bogota.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Atletico Bucaramanga ↑ +0.06 (+3.7%)

Internacional de Bogota = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.