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Montenegro Druga Liga · ME

FK Budva vs FK Lovcen

30 Sep 2026 · 15:00
NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp
FK Budva
FK Lovcen
HOME 35.9% DRAW 26.5% AWAY 37.7%
HOME 36.6% 2.60 DRAW 26.9% 3.54 AWAY 36.6% 2.60

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FK Budva

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
FK Budva FK Lovcen
Shots 7.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 6.5 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
FK Budva FK Lovcen
Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 2.3

FK Lovcen has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
FK Budva FK Lovcen

The combined recent performance profile favours FK Lovcen.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FK Budva ↑ +0.10 (+3.9%)
FK Lovcen ↑ +0.10 (+3.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.