FM Klaipedos vs Banga Gargzdai II

02 Oct 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.4 pp

FM Klaipedos

Banga Gargzdai II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.9% DRAW 22.6% AWAY 29.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.9% 1.87 DRAW 23.1% 4.14 AWAY 26.0% 3.66

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Banga Gargzdai II relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 29.5% win probability, compared with 26.0% implied by the market. The 3.4 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Banga Gargzdai II has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FM Klaipedos Banga Gargzdai II

Shots 6.5 · On target 2.5 Shots 11.3 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Banga Gargzdai II, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FM Klaipedos Banga Gargzdai II

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 7.3 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Banga Gargzdai II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FM Klaipedos Banga Gargzdai II

The combined recent performance profile favours Banga Gargzdai II.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

FM Klaipedos ↑ +0.00 (+0.2%)

Banga Gargzdai II ↑ +0.46 (+14.4%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.