Dinamo Bucharest vs Farul Constanta

20 Sep 2026 · 19:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.3 pp

Dinamo Bucharest

Farul Constanta

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 59.4% DRAW 24.0% AWAY 16.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 56.1% 1.72 DRAW 25.1% 3.85 AWAY 18.8% 5.15

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Dinamo Bucharest relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 59.4% win probability, compared with 56.1% implied by the market. The 3.3 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Dinamo Bucharest

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Dinamo Bucharest Farul Constanta

Shots 18.5 · On target 7.5 Shots 12.3 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Dinamo Bucharest, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Dinamo Bucharest Farul Constanta

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Dinamo Bucharest Farul Constanta

The combined recent performance profile favours Dinamo Bucharest.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Dinamo Bucharest ↑ +0.11 (+6.7%)

Farul Constanta ↑ +0.08 (+1.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.