MSK Senec vs Spartak Myjava

02 Oct 2026 · 18:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

MSK Senec

Spartak Myjava

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.4% DRAW 25.6% AWAY 47.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 27.2% 3.64 DRAW 25.9% 3.82 AWAY 46.9% 2.11

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Spartak Myjava

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

MSK Senec Spartak Myjava

Shots 8.8 · On target 3.5 Shots 8.8 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

MSK Senec Spartak Myjava

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.5

Spartak Myjava has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

MSK Senec Spartak Myjava

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

MSK Senec ↑ +0.24 (+6.7%)

Spartak Myjava ↑ +0.23 (+13.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.