Eldense vs Oviedo

02 Oct 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Eldense

Oviedo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.5% DRAW 31.0% AWAY 30.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.2% 2.55 DRAW 30.7% 3.18 AWAY 31.1% 3.14

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Eldense Oviedo

Shots 13.3 · On target 4.3 Shots 15.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Eldense Oviedo

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Eldense Oviedo

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Eldense ↓ -0.11 (-4.2%)

Oviedo ↑ +0.34 (+12.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.