Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon

27 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Oviedo

Sporting Gijon

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.4% DRAW 31.1% AWAY 23.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.0% 2.10 DRAW 30.6% 3.16 AWAY 23.4% 4.13

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

The overall recent shot balance favours the away side, although neither attack nor defence dominates every measure.

Attack Recent attacking output

Oviedo Sporting Gijon

Shots 12.5 · On target 3.0 Shots 11.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Oviedo Sporting Gijon

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Oviedo Sporting Gijon

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Oviedo ↑ +0.04 (+1.9%)

Sporting Gijon ↑ +0.14 (+3.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.