Coban Imperial vs Aurora

27 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.5 pp

Coban Imperial

Aurora

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 63.7% DRAW 22.8% AWAY 13.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 61.2% 1.56 DRAW 23.8% 4.01 AWAY 15.0% 6.38

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Coban Imperial relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 63.7% win probability, compared with 61.2% implied by the market. The 2.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Coban Imperial has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Coban Imperial Aurora

Shots 11.3 · On target 4.0 Shots 8.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Coban Imperial, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Coban Imperial Aurora

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 4.5

Coban Imperial has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Coban Imperial Aurora

The combined recent performance profile favours Coban Imperial.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Coban Imperial ↑ +0.03 (+1.8%)

Aurora ↑ +1.13 (+21.5%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.