Deportivo Mixco vs Antigua GFC

27 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.9 pp

Deportivo Mixco

Antigua GFC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.6% DRAW 28.1% AWAY 36.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.4% 2.49 DRAW 28.3% 3.38 AWAY 33.4% 2.86

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Antigua GFC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 36.3% win probability, compared with 33.4% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Antigua GFC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Mixco Antigua GFC

Shots 8.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 10.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Antigua GFC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Mixco Antigua GFC

Shots allowed 16.5 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 5.5

Antigua GFC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Mixco Antigua GFC

The combined recent performance profile favours Antigua GFC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Deportivo Mixco ↑ +0.29 (+13.3%)

Antigua GFC ↓ -0.18 (-6.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.