Guastatoya vs Deportivo San Pedro

26 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Guastatoya

Deportivo San Pedro

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 59.5% DRAW 25.6% AWAY 14.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.9% 1.53 DRAW 25.1% 3.72 AWAY 14.0% 6.65

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Guastatoya

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Guastatoya Deportivo San Pedro

Shots 7.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 5.8 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Guastatoya, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Guastatoya Deportivo San Pedro

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 2.8

Deportivo San Pedro has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Guastatoya Deportivo San Pedro

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Guastatoya ↓ -0.27 (-14.8%)

Deportivo San Pedro ↑ +2.65 (+66.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.