Malacateco vs Deportivo Mixco

21 Sep 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.5 pp

Malacateco

Deportivo Mixco

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.4% DRAW 25.3% AWAY 18.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.0% 1.70 DRAW 26.1% 3.52 AWAY 19.9% 4.62

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Deportivo Mixco

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Malacateco Deportivo Mixco

Shots 7.5 · On target 2.5 Shots 10.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Deportivo Mixco, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Malacateco Deportivo Mixco

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 16.8 · On target allowed 7.8

Malacateco has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Malacateco Deportivo Mixco

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Malacateco ↓ -0.05 (-2.6%)

Deportivo Mixco ↑ +0.17 (+3.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.