Suchitepequez vs Xelaju

21 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.7 pp

Suchitepequez

Xelaju

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 32.8% DRAW 28.5% AWAY 38.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.3% 2.51 DRAW 28.6% 3.27 AWAY 34.1% 2.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Xelaju clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 38.7% win probability, compared with 34.1% implied by the market. The 4.7 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Xelaju has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Suchitepequez Xelaju

Shots 8.8 · On target 4.8 Shots 16.5 · On target 9.0

Recent attacking output favours Xelaju, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Suchitepequez Xelaju

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 2.5

Xelaju has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Suchitepequez Xelaju

The combined recent performance profile favours Xelaju.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Suchitepequez = (0.0%)

Xelaju = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.