Deportivo A Coruna (W) vs Espanyol (W)

27 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Deportivo A Coruna (W)

Espanyol (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.9% DRAW 30.6% AWAY 25.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.3% 2.18 DRAW 30.4% 3.11 AWAY 26.3% 3.59

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Deportivo A Coruna (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo A Coruna (W) Espanyol (W)

Shots 11.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 8.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Deportivo A Coruna (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo A Coruna (W) Espanyol (W)

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo A Coruna (W) Espanyol (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Deportivo A Coruna (W) ↓ -0.14 (-6.0%)

Espanyol (W) ↑ +0.84 (+30.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.